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Is Ethereum Bullish or Bearish? What Does the Futures Market Data Say?

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Is Ethereum Bullish or Bearish? What Does the Futures Market Data Say?

Here’s what Ethereum futures market data suggests about whether sentiment around ETH looks bearish or bullish.

Ethereum Takers’ Buy-Sell Ratio Has Recently Seen a Sharp Increase

In a new CryptoQuant Quicktake jobAn analyst talked about Ethereum’s outlook based on futures market data. The main indicator here is the “Taker/Buy/Sell Ratio”, which tracks ETH taker buying and selling volumes on derivatives platforms.

When the value of this measure is greater than 1, it means that the taker’s buying or long position volume exceeds the taker’s selling or short position volume and therefore, a majority bullish sentiment is present in the market.

On the other hand, the fact that the indicator is below the bar implies the dominance of a bearish mentality among future users, as more sellers are willing to sell at a lower price.

Now here is a chart that shows the trend of Ethereum’s 14-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) Taker Buy Sell ratio over the past few months:

Ethereum Taker Buy/Sell Ratio

The 14-day SMA value of the metric appears to have been sharply going up in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant

As seen in the chart above, the Taker Buy Sell Ethereum 14-day SMA ratio has recently observed a rapid increase, implying that the market balance has shifted.

Along with this rise in the indicator, the price of the asset also saw a sharp rise. The chart shows that a similar trend was also observed in the measure preceding the price increase in the first quarter of the year.

Based on the recent trend, the quant comments:

This rise indicates strong buying interest in the perpetual market, suggesting a notable bullish sentiment. If this upward trend in the taker bid/sell ratio continues, it confirms a potential medium-term bullish trend in the market, with the price likely moving back up towards higher values.

It remains to be seen whether the 14-day Taker Buy Sell SMA ratio will continue to rise in the coming days, confirming this possible bullish setup for the cryptocurrency.

Speaking of the futures market, the CME Group has recently seen its dominance increase in the calendar futures market for Ethereum and Bitcoin, as analytics firm Glassnode highlighted in an article by X job.

CME Open Interest Domination on Ethereum

The trend in the Open Interest dominance of the CME group in the BTC and ETH calendar futures market | Source: Glassnode on X

The chart above displays data relating to CME Group’s open interest dominance. Open interest refers to the number of contracts currently open in the calendar futures market.

It appears that CME Group now holds 83% and 65% of the open interest on the Bitcoin and Ethereum calendar, respectively.

ETH Price

Ethereum’s recovery has stalled over the past few days, with the asset’s price still trading around $3,400.

Ethereum Price Chart

Looks like the price of the coin has been moving sideways since its surge | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView

Featured image by Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com Glassnode.com, chart by TradingView.com

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We are the editorial team of Chain Feed Staff, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Chain Feed Staff, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Ethereum

QCP sees Ethereum as a safe bet amid Bitcoin stagnation

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QCP, a leading trading firm, has shared key observations on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s struggle to surpass the $70,000 mark has led QCP to predict Selling pressure is still strong, with BTC likely to remain in a tight trading range. In the meantime, Ethereum (ETH) is seen as a more promising investment, with potential gains as ETH could catch up to BTC, thanks to decreasing ETHE outflows.

Read on to find out how you can benefit from it.

Bitcoin’s Struggle: The $70,000 Barrier

For the sixth time in a row, BTC has failed to break above the $70,000 mark. Bitcoin is at $66,048 after a sharp decline. Many investors sold Bitcoin to capitalize on the rising values, which caused a dramatic drop. The market is becoming increasingly skeptical about Bitcoin’s rise, with some investors lowering their expectations.

Despite the continued sell-off from Mt. Gox and the US government, the ETF market remains bullish. There is a notable trend in favor of Ethereum (ETH) ETFs as major bulls have started investing in ETFs, indicating a bullish sentiment for ETH.

QCP Telegram Update UnderlinesIncreased market volatility. The NASDAQ has fallen 10% from its peak, led by a pullback in major technology stocks. Currency carry trades are being unwound and the VIX, a measure of market volatility, has jumped to 19.50.

The main factors driving this uncertainty are Value at Risk (VaR) shocks, high stock market valuations and global risk aversion sentiment. Commodities such as oil and copper have also declined on fears of an economic slowdown.

Additionally, QCP anticipates increased market volatility ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting, highlighting the importance of the Federal Reserve’s statement and Jerome Powell’s subsequent press conference.

A glimmer of hope

QCP notes a positive development in the crypto space with an inflow of $33.7 million into ETH spot ETFs, which is giving a much-needed boost to ETH prices. However, they anticipate continued outflows of ETHE in the coming weeks. The recent Silk Road BTC moves by the US government have added to the market uncertainty.

QCP suggests a strategic trade involving BTC, which will likely remain in its current range, while ETH offers a more promising opportunity. They propose a trade targeting a $4,000-$4,500 range for ETH, which could generate a 5.5x return by August 30, 2024.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Whale Resurfaces After 9 Years, Moves 1,111 ETH Worth $3.7 Million

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Ethereum records $17.9 billion in spot volume despite 3% drop

An Ethereum ICO participant has emerged from nearly a decade of inactivity.

Lookonchain, a smart on-chain money tracking tool, revealed On X, this long-inactive participant recently transferred 1,111 ETH, worth approximately $3.7 million, to a new wallet. This significant move marks a notable on-chain movement, given the participant’s prolonged dormancy.

The Ethereum account in question, identified as 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, received 2,000 ETH on the Genesis block over 9 years ago.

Screenshot 2024 07 30 at 171307

This initial allocation took place during the Ethereum ICOwhere the participant invested in ETH at around $0.31 per coin. The initial investment, worth around $620 at the time, has now grown to millions of dollars.

Recent Transactions and Movements

The inactive account became active again with several notable output transactions. Specifically, the account transferred 1,000 ETH, 100 ETH, 10 ETH, 1 ETH, and 1 more ETH to address 0x7C21775C…2E9dCaE28 within a few minutes. Additionally, it moved 1 ETH to 0x2aa31476…f5aaCE9B.

Additionally, in the latest round of transactions, the address transferred 737,995 ETH, 50 ETH, and 100 ETH, for a total of 887,995 ETH. These recent activities highlight a significant movement of funds, sparking interest and speculation in the crypto community.

Why are whales reactivating?

It is also evident that apart from 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, other previously dormant Ethereum whales are waking up with significant transfers.

In May, another dormant Ethereum whale made headlines when it staked 4,032 ETHvalued at $7.4 million, after more than two years of inactivity. This whale initially acquired 60,000 ETH during the Genesis block of Ethereum’s mainnet in 2015.

At the time, this activity could have been related to Ethereum’s upgrade known as “Shanghai,” which improved the network’s scalability and performance. This whale likely intended to capitalize on the price surge that occurred after the upgrade.

Disclaimer: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The opinions expressed in this article may include the personal opinions of the author and do not reflect the opinion of The Crypto Basic. Readers are encouraged to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.

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Ethereum

Only Bitcoin and Ethereum are viable for ETFs in the near future

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Only Bitcoin and Ethereum are viable for ETFs in the near future

BlackRock: Only Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Viable for ETFs in the Near Future

Bitcoin and Ethereum will be the only cryptocurrencies traded via ETFs in the near future, according to Samara Cohen, chief investment officer of ETFs and indices at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager.

In an interview with Bloomberg TV, Cohen explained that while Bitcoin and Ethereum have met BlackRock’s rigorous criteria for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), no other digital asset currently comes close. “We’re really looking at the investability to see what meets the criteria, what meets the criteria that we want to achieve in an ETF,” Cohen said. “Both in terms of the investability and from what we’re hearing from our clients, Bitcoin and Ethereum definitely meet those criteria, but it’s going to be a while before we see anything else.”

Cohen noted that beyond the technical challenges of launching new ETFs, the demand for other crypto ETFs, particularly Solana, is not there yet. While Solana is being touted as the next potential ETF candidate, Cohen noted that the market appetite remains lacking.

BlackRock’s interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs comes after the successful launch of Ethereum ETFs last week, which saw weekly trading volume for the crypto fund soar to $14.8 billion, the highest level since May. The success has fueled speculation about the next possible ETF, with Solana frequently mentioned as a contender.

Solana, known as a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum, has been the subject of two separate ETF filings in the US by VanEck and 21Shares. However, the lack of CME Solana futures, unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, is a significant hurdle for SEC approval of a Solana ETF.

Despite these challenges, some fund managers remain optimistic about Solana’s potential. Franklin Templeton recently described Solana as an “exciting and major development that we believe will drive the crypto space forward.” Solana currently accounts for about 3% of the overall cryptocurrency market value, with a market cap of $82 billion, according to data from CoinGecko.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin investors continue to show strong support, as evidenced by substantial inflows into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT). On July 22, IBIT reported inflows of $526.7 million, the highest single-day total since March. This impressive haul stands in stark contrast to the collective inflow of just $6.9 million seen across the remaining 10 Bitcoin ETFs, according to data from Farside Investors. The surge in IBIT inflows coincides with Bitcoin’s significant $68,000 level, just 8% off its all-time high of $73,000.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Posts First Consecutive Monthly Losses Since August 2023 on New ETFs

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Ethereum sees first monthly consecutive losses since August 2023 amid new ETFs

Available exclusively via

Bitcoin ETF vs Ethereum: A Detailed Comparison of IBIT and ETHA

Andjela Radmilac · 3 days ago

CryptoSlate’s latest market report takes an in-depth look at the technical and practical differences between IBIT and BlackRock’s ETHA to explain how these products work.

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