Ethereum
Breaking down Ethereum’s big move and why history says it will next
Ethereum is getting an ETF (or several) and this could lead to a sharp rise in prices.
It’s been a wild ride for Ethereum (ETH 0.68%) in recent years. Since its launch in 2015, the cryptocurrency has grown by nearly 128,000% thanks to its novel smart contracts and the domination of decentralized finance (DeFi) economy. Yet as impressive as the last decade has been, its story may only just be beginning.
On May 23, the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) paved the way for approval of an Ethereum spot exchange traded fund (ETF). Once completed, this process essentially opens the cryptocurrency to a new set of buyers and increases demand on its deflationary supply. Here’s why the move is so historic and what it could mean for the world’s second-most valuable cryptocurrency.
A historic decision
Just a few weeks ago, the chances of a one-time approval of the Ethereum ETF seemed slim. Many analysts believed there was only a 25% chance, but on Thursday, May 22, things took a turn for the better as rumors began to circulate that the SEC had changed its mind.
The next day, it was officially announced that the SEC would approve all eight 19b-4 applications, paving the way for the approval of the Ethereum ETF. This isn’t exactly the same as full approval, but this final step is almost guaranteed at this point. Under the current schedule, the SEC is expected to approve S-1 applications (the official documents that allow ETFs to go live) between mid-to-late summer.
The reason an ETF is so important is its ability to democratize access for investors. With ETFs, investors can now gain exposure to Ethereum by simply purchasing shares as they would a stock on a stock exchange. Gone are the days of browsing crypto exchanges or managing digital wallets.
Additionally, and perhaps most importantly, approval of an ETF means institutional investors can join the game. Without ETFs, these investors were hesitant to get into crypto due to the lack of regulatory guidelines and custody issues. This is why not only the rise of Ethereum, but that of all cryptocurrencies, over the years, has been driven by retail investors.
But ETFs offer institutions a simple and accessible way to buy. And that’s a good thing because institutional investors are known for their vast resources and deep pockets.
Charting the future trajectory
To quantify the impact of an Ethereum ETF, we can return to BitcoinIt is Spot ETF journey. In January, Bitcoin became the first cryptocurrency to get a spot ETF, marking a landmark event in the world of crypto adoption and evolution. The initial 11 Bitcoin ETFs were hugely successful and quickly became one of the most successful ETF launches in history. In just four months, they attracted more than $38 billion and, at one point, purchased 10 times the daily supply of Bitcoin, introducing a supply shock that sent the price of Bitcoin to an all-time high .
Although Ethereum ETFs are unlikely to be as popular as Bitcoin ETFs simply because Bitcoin is the most well-known crypto asset, Ethereum will still benefit significantly. Indeed, the market capitalization of Ethereum is lower than that of Bitcoin. In other words, it will take less capital to move the price of Ethereum than that of Bitcoin.
We can even speculate on the possible evolution of the price of Ethereum (emphasis on speculation). Since the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, approximately $425 billion has been added to its market capitalization. All of this is not a direct result of ETFs buying Bitcoin, but we can use it as an indicator to measure the effect of ETFs.
If Ethereum ETFs were half as successful as Bitcoin ETFs, that would add $212 billion to its market cap, an increase of about 45%. If this were to happen, the price of Ethereum would rise to $5,300, a new all-time high.
The road to follow
While we can only speculate on exactly how much demand Ethereum ETFs will generate, one thing is certain: Ethereum is about to be opened up to a new class of deep-pocketed investors.
The impact of these ETFs will be felt over time, as institutional investors typically require extensive research and due diligence before making allocations. However, given the success of Bitcoin ETFs and the recent trend of institutions revealing Bitcoin holdingsthe question is probably not if, but when these investments will materialize.
In the meantime, Ethereum presents an attractive investment opportunity. Although its current price is around 25% below its all-time high, Ethereum’s fundamentals have never been stronger. As we approach full approval of ETFs, expect growing demand for the world’s second most valuable cryptocurrency.
Ethereum
QCP sees Ethereum as a safe bet amid Bitcoin stagnation
QCP, a leading trading firm, has shared key observations on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s struggle to surpass the $70,000 mark has led QCP to predict Selling pressure is still strong, with BTC likely to remain in a tight trading range. In the meantime, Ethereum (ETH) is seen as a more promising investment, with potential gains as ETH could catch up to BTC, thanks to decreasing ETHE outflows.
Read on to find out how you can benefit from it.
Bitcoin’s Struggle: The $70,000 Barrier
For the sixth time in a row, BTC has failed to break above the $70,000 mark. Bitcoin is at $66,048 after a sharp decline. Many investors sold Bitcoin to capitalize on the rising values, which caused a dramatic drop. The market is becoming increasingly skeptical about Bitcoin’s rise, with some investors lowering their expectations.
Despite the continued sell-off from Mt. Gox and the US government, the ETF market remains bullish. There is a notable trend in favor of Ethereum (ETH) ETFs as major bulls have started investing in ETFs, indicating a bullish sentiment for ETH.
QCP Telegram Update UnderlinesIncreased market volatility. The NASDAQ has fallen 10% from its peak, led by a pullback in major technology stocks. Currency carry trades are being unwound and the VIX, a measure of market volatility, has jumped to 19.50.
The main factors driving this uncertainty are Value at Risk (VaR) shocks, high stock market valuations and global risk aversion sentiment. Commodities such as oil and copper have also declined on fears of an economic slowdown.
Additionally, QCP anticipates increased market volatility ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting, highlighting the importance of the Federal Reserve’s statement and Jerome Powell’s subsequent press conference.
A glimmer of hope
QCP notes a positive development in the crypto space with an inflow of $33.7 million into ETH spot ETFs, which is giving a much-needed boost to ETH prices. However, they anticipate continued outflows of ETHE in the coming weeks. The recent Silk Road BTC moves by the US government have added to the market uncertainty.
QCP suggests a strategic trade involving BTC, which will likely remain in its current range, while ETH offers a more promising opportunity. They propose a trade targeting a $4,000-$4,500 range for ETH, which could generate a 5.5x return by August 30, 2024.
Ethereum
Ethereum Whale Resurfaces After 9 Years, Moves 1,111 ETH Worth $3.7 Million
An Ethereum ICO participant has emerged from nearly a decade of inactivity.
Lookonchain, a smart on-chain money tracking tool, revealed On X, this long-inactive participant recently transferred 1,111 ETH, worth approximately $3.7 million, to a new wallet. This significant move marks a notable on-chain movement, given the participant’s prolonged dormancy.
The Ethereum account in question, identified as 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, received 2,000 ETH on the Genesis block over 9 years ago.
This initial allocation took place during the Ethereum ICOwhere the participant invested in ETH at around $0.31 per coin. The initial investment, worth around $620 at the time, has now grown to millions of dollars.
Recent Transactions and Movements
The inactive account became active again with several notable output transactions. Specifically, the account transferred 1,000 ETH, 100 ETH, 10 ETH, 1 ETH, and 1 more ETH to address 0x7C21775C…2E9dCaE28 within a few minutes. Additionally, it moved 1 ETH to 0x2aa31476…f5aaCE9B.
Additionally, in the latest round of transactions, the address transferred 737,995 ETH, 50 ETH, and 100 ETH, for a total of 887,995 ETH. These recent activities highlight a significant movement of funds, sparking interest and speculation in the crypto community.
Why are whales reactivating?
It is also evident that apart from 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, other previously dormant Ethereum whales are waking up with significant transfers.
In May, another dormant Ethereum whale made headlines when it staked 4,032 ETHvalued at $7.4 million, after more than two years of inactivity. This whale initially acquired 60,000 ETH during the Genesis block of Ethereum’s mainnet in 2015.
At the time, this activity could have been related to Ethereum’s upgrade known as “Shanghai,” which improved the network’s scalability and performance. This whale likely intended to capitalize on the price surge that occurred after the upgrade.
Disclaimer: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The opinions expressed in this article may include the personal opinions of the author and do not reflect the opinion of The Crypto Basic. Readers are encouraged to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
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Ethereum
Only Bitcoin and Ethereum are viable for ETFs in the near future
BlackRock: Only Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Viable for ETFs in the Near Future
Bitcoin and Ethereum will be the only cryptocurrencies traded via ETFs in the near future, according to Samara Cohen, chief investment officer of ETFs and indices at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager.
In an interview with Bloomberg TV, Cohen explained that while Bitcoin and Ethereum have met BlackRock’s rigorous criteria for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), no other digital asset currently comes close. “We’re really looking at the investability to see what meets the criteria, what meets the criteria that we want to achieve in an ETF,” Cohen said. “Both in terms of the investability and from what we’re hearing from our clients, Bitcoin and Ethereum definitely meet those criteria, but it’s going to be a while before we see anything else.”
Cohen noted that beyond the technical challenges of launching new ETFs, the demand for other crypto ETFs, particularly Solana, is not there yet. While Solana is being touted as the next potential ETF candidate, Cohen noted that the market appetite remains lacking.
BlackRock’s interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs comes after the successful launch of Ethereum ETFs last week, which saw weekly trading volume for the crypto fund soar to $14.8 billion, the highest level since May. The success has fueled speculation about the next possible ETF, with Solana frequently mentioned as a contender.
Solana, known as a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum, has been the subject of two separate ETF filings in the US by VanEck and 21Shares. However, the lack of CME Solana futures, unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, is a significant hurdle for SEC approval of a Solana ETF.
Despite these challenges, some fund managers remain optimistic about Solana’s potential. Franklin Templeton recently described Solana as an “exciting and major development that we believe will drive the crypto space forward.” Solana currently accounts for about 3% of the overall cryptocurrency market value, with a market cap of $82 billion, according to data from CoinGecko.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin investors continue to show strong support, as evidenced by substantial inflows into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT). On July 22, IBIT reported inflows of $526.7 million, the highest single-day total since March. This impressive haul stands in stark contrast to the collective inflow of just $6.9 million seen across the remaining 10 Bitcoin ETFs, according to data from Farside Investors. The surge in IBIT inflows coincides with Bitcoin’s significant $68,000 level, just 8% off its all-time high of $73,000.
Ethereum
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