Bitcoin
Trump attends Republican National Convention, Dow Jones record close, bitcoin ‘digital gold’
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on June 3, 2024.
Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images
This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our newsletter covering international markets. The CNBC Daily Open keeps investors updated on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.
Dow record high
O Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at an all-time high after former President Donald Trump survived an assassination attempt. S&P 500 Index reached an intraday high and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.4%. The prospect of Trump’s reelection is seen as positive for small caps, Russell 2000 gained 1.8%, reaching its highest level since 2022 and recording a fourth consecutive positive day. The yield on the 10-year bond Treasury went up like investors analyzed comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. US Oil Prices refused.
Trump praised at Republican National Convention
Former President Donald Trump was applauded and celebrated at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, his first appearance since an assassination attempt at a Pennsylvania rally. Sporting a bandage over his right ear, Trump appeared in good spirits. The crowd erupted in applause and chants of “Fight! Fight! Fight!” as he entered the arena and waved to the audience. Earlier, Trump chose Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance as his vice-presidential running mate for the 2024 election. Meanwhile, Elon Musk reportedly said he is planning promise about 45 million dollars per month to a newly formed super PAC supporting Trump.
The Fed may not wait
Powell said that central bank will not wait until inflation hits its 2% target to cut interest rates. Because of the delayed effects of monetary policy, “if you wait until inflation falls to 2%, you’ve probably waited too long, because the tightening that you’re doing, or the level of tightening that you have, is still having effects that are likely to drive inflation below 2%,” Powell said.
Bitcoin ‘digital gold’
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, initially a bitcoin skeptic, now sees cryptocurrency as “digital gold” and a potential safe haven for investors worried about political instability and rising government debt. Fink believes bitcoin can offer uncorrelated returns and act as a hedge against currency devaluation caused by excessive deficits. “I think it’s an instrument that you invest in when you’re most scared. It’s an instrument for when you think countries are devaluing their currencies because of excessive deficits, and some countries are,” Fink told CNBC’s “Scream in the street.”
Asian markets mixed, Nifty hits high
Asia-Pacific markets were mixed, with investors weighing Powell’s Moderated Comments and former President Donald Trump choice for vice-presidential running mateJD Vance, who has been critical of China. Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell 1.37%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 rose 0.21%. India’s benchmark index Nifty 50 reached a historic record, Japan Nikkei 225 rose as markets resumed trading after a public holiday, and South Korea Kospi went up a little more. Australia S&P/ASX 200 Index fell marginally, pulling back from the index’s all-time closing high on Monday.
[PRO] ‘Super 8’
UBS has updated its “Super 8” list of top Asian tech stocksseen as alternatives to the US’s “Magnificent Seven.” These stocks are expected to outperform the rest of Asia next year due to strong earnings growth and attractive valuations compared to global technology peers.
Not only did Trump Media to see shares rise 30% after the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, cryptocurrency also gained a boost. This increase appears as a platform for political betting Predict suggests that Trump is likely to win the November election by a wide margin following the attempt on his life. The cryptocurrency connection? Trump recently raised $12 million at a fundraising event hosted by tech venture capitalists David Sacks and Chamath Palihapitiya, where he criticized Democrats’ attempts to regulate the cryptocurrency industry.
At this point, financial markets are broadly supportive of Trump’s deal.
“The market, I mean, will prefer Trump. He’s more pro-free market, anti-regulation, pro-growth,” said Wharton School finance professor Jeremy Siegel. CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Monday.
But this growth comes at a price.
“About growth, if we have a red scan“I think it’s more likely that we’ll get more tax cuts — more than the 2017 tax cuts extended past their current expiration at the end of 2025. So that would certainly be a relative boon to growth, albeit with larger deficits,” Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan, told CNBC.
“The deficit is not on a good trajectory even with current policy, and if we extend all the tax cuts, which is likely to happen in any scenario but perhaps a little longer in a red wave, we are looking at a pretty distressing situation for issuance.”
Goldman Sachs suggests a Trump’s second term could sustain recent small-cap rally. O Russell 2000 gained 6% last week and 1.8% on Monday.
“The big wild card, on trade and immigration policy, there are a lot of unknowns, and if you go back to 2019, the first trade war, it had a chilling effect on business sentiment and maybe some of that can be offset by deregulation,” Feroli said. “We’re really heading into an environment of widespread uncertainty if you look at policy next year.”
Christopher Harvey, head of equity strategy at Wells Fargo Securities, told CNBC: “As the polls go up for Trump, you get a little bit more certainty, yes, we can argue about whether we’re going to have tariffs or not, but the likelihood of Trump has been good for the market. So that certainty is a little bit of a positive and that’s why you’ve seen the market go up.”
“Regulation is decreasing, who is that good for? That’s good for the banks, that’s good for capital markets, M&A, IPOs and that’s where I think you can make money in this market.”
— CNBC’s MacKenzie Sigalos, Alex Harring, Yun Li, Hugh Son, Sarah Min, April Roach, Jesse Pound, Charmaine Jacob, Rebecca Picciotto and Amala Balakrishner contributed to this report.
Bitcoin
Grayscale Unveils Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
Bitcoin Currency
Grayscale Investments The Bitcoin Mini Trust began trading on Wednesday with a 0.15% expense ratio, offering a lower-cost option for bitcoin exposure in the market.
The Mini Trust, which has the symbol BTC and trades on NYSE Arca, is structured as a spin-off of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). New shares will be distributed to existing GBTC shareholders with the fund contributing a portion of its bitcoin holdings to the new product. According to a company press releaseBTC’s S-1 registration statement became effective last week.
“The Grayscale team has believed in the transformative potential of Bitcoin since the initial launch of GBTC in 2013, and we are excited to launch the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust to help further lower the barrier to entry for Bitcoin in an SEC-regulated investment vehicle,” said David LaValle, Senior Managing Director and Head of ETFs at Grayscale.
The Bitcoin Mini Trust’s debut comes amid growing interest in ETFs based on the current price of the two largest cryptocurrencies by market cap, bitcoin and ether. Spot bitcoin ETFs have generated nearly $18 billion in inflows since the first ones began trading on Jan. 11, though GBTC has lost nearly $19 billion in assets.
This fund differs from other funds because it is a conversion of an existing fund and has a 1.5% fee, the highest among spot bitcoin products that have received SEC approval this year.
Mini Bitcoin Trust Low Fee
On a Post X On Wednesday, Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted the Bitcoin Mini Trust’s “lowest fee in the category…”
“[Important] to recognize how incredibly cheap 15bps is — about 10x cheaper than spot ETFs in other countries and other vehicles,” Balchunas wrote, adding that this pricing strategy reflects the competitive nature of the U.S. ETF market, which he referred to as the “ETF Terrordome.”
“This is what Terrordome does to fund [cost]. It reaches 1.5% [and] end in 0.15%, how to go from [a] country club to the jungle. But that’s why all the flows are here, investor paradise,” he noted.
Read more: Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Hit Daily High of Over $1 Billion
Bitcoin was recently trading at around $66,350, virtually flat since U.S. markets opened on Wednesday.
Grayscale also offers two spot Ethereum ETFs, the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) and the Grayscale Ethereum (ETH) Mini Trustwhose performance is based on ETHE. ETHE outflows exceeded $1.8 billion in its first six days of trading, while ETH added more than $181 million in the same period, according to Farside. The remaining seven ETFs generated about $1.2 billion in inflows.
The story continues
Read more: Spot Ethereum ETFs Approved to Start Trading
Permanent link | © Copyright 2024 etf.com. All rights reserved
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Drops Below $65K After FOMC as Middle East Tensions Rise
Cryptocurrencies fell sharply on Wednesday as rising geopolitical risks captivated investors’ attention following the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.
Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $64,500 from around $66,500, where it traded following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference and is down more than 2% in the past 24 hours. Major altcoins including ether (ETH)sunbathing (SUN)Avalanche AVAX (AVAX) and Cardano (ADA) also fell, while Ripple’s XRP saved some of its early gains today. The broad cryptocurrency market benchmark CoinDesk 20 Index was 0.8% lower than 24 hours ago.
The liquidation happened when the New York Times reported that Iran’s leaders have ordered retaliation against Israel over the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, raising the risk of a wider conflict in the region.
Earlier today, the Fed left benchmark interest rates unchanged and gave little indication that a widely expected rate cut in September is a given. The Fed’s Powell said that while no decision has been made on a September cut, the “broad sense is that we are getting closer” to cutting rates.
While digital assets suffered losses, most traditional asset classes rose higher during the day. U.S. 10-year bond yields fell 10 basis points, while gold rose 1.5% to $2,450, slightly below its record highs, and WTI crude oil prices rose 5%. Stocks also rallied during the day, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index rebounding 3% and the S&P 500 closing the session 2.2% higher, led by 12% gains in chipmaker giant Nvidia (NVDA).
The different performances across asset classes could be due to traders’ positioning ahead of the Fed meeting, Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, said in an emailed note.
“Equities may have been slightly underutilized after the recent dip, while bitcoin is coming off a strong period with solid inflows, while gold has recovered after a period of weakness,” he said.
“Overall, the combination of Fed rate cuts, bipartisan focus on cryptocurrency policy issues, and the prospect of a second Trump administration that could advocate for a weaker U.S. dollar should be viewed as very positive for bitcoin,” he concluded.
UPDATE (July 31, 2024, 21:30 UTC): Adds grayscale comments.
Bitcoin
Donald Trump’s Cryptocurrency Enthusiasm Is Just Another Scam
Former US President Donald Trump spoke at the Libertarian National Convention in May and lent his a strong support to crypto: “I will also stop Joe Biden’s crusade to crush crypto. … I will ensure that the future of crypto and the future of bitcoin is made in the US, not taken overseas. I will support the right to self-custody. To the 50 million crypto holders in the country, I say this: With your vote, I will keep Elizabeth Warren and her henchmen out of your bitcoin.”
Former US President Donald Trump spoke at the Libertarian National Convention in May and lent his a strong support to crypto: “I will also stop Joe Biden’s crusade to crush crypto. … I will ensure that the future of crypto and the future of bitcoin is made in the US, not taken overseas. I will support the right to self-custody. To the 50 million crypto holders in the country, I say this: With your vote, I will keep Elizabeth Warren and her henchmen out of your bitcoin.”
Trump continued to court the cryptocurrency industry in the months that followed; he he appeared at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville this week, along with independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s parting words to Trump — “Have fun with your bitcoin, your cryptocurrency and whatever else you’re playing with” — were less than enthusiastic, but the industry itself remains packed with ardent Trump supporters.
This turnaround came as a surprise, given Trump’s previous strong opposition to cryptocurrency. When Facebook was floating its Libra cryptocurrency in 2019, Trump tweeted: “I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air.” Former national security adviser John Bolton’s White House memoir, The Room Where It Happened, quotes Trump as telling Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin: “Don’t be a trade negotiator. Go after Bitcoin.” [for fraud].” In 2021, Trump counted Fox Business that bitcoin “just looks like a scam. … I want the dollar to be the world’s currency.”
Why the change? There doesn’t seem to be any crypto votes. Trump’s “50 million” number comes from a poorly sampled push survey by cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase which claimed 52 million cryptocurrency users in the United States starting in February 2023. But one survey A survey conducted last October by the US Federal Reserve showed that only 7% of adults (about 18.3 million people) admitted to owning or using cryptocurrencies — down from 10% in 2022 and 12% in 2021. Many of these people are likely wallet owners who were left holding the bag after crypto plunged in 2022 — and are not necessarily new fans.
What Trump wants from the cryptocurrency industry is money. The cryptocurrency industry has already raised more than US$ 180 million to run in the 2024 US elections through his super PACs Fairshake, Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress.
Fairshake spent $10 million on taking Rep. Katie Porter in the primary battle for Dianne Feinstein’s California Senate seat by funding Porter’s pro-crypto rival Adam Schiff. This put $2 million to knock out Rep. Jamaal Bowman in the Democratic primary for New York’s 16th District in favor of pro-crypto George Latimer. In the Utah Senate Republican primary, Rep. John Curtis defeated Trent Staggs with the help of $4.7 million from Defend American Jobs. In Alabama’s House District 2, the majority of campaign expenses came from the cryptocurrency industry.
Fairshake is substantially financed by Coinbase, cryptocurrency issuer Ripple Labs, and Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, or a16z. Silicon Valley was awash in cryptocurrencies during the 2021 bubble, and a16z in particular continues to promote blockchain startups to this day — and still holds a huge amount of bubble crypto tokens that he wishes he could cash in on.
Many in Silicon Valley would like an authoritarian who they think will let them run wild with money — while bailing them out in tough times. Indeed, Trump promised Bitcoin 2024 participants that he hold all bitcoins that the United States acquires. (Never mind that it is usually acquired as the proceeds of crime.) Silicon Valley explicitly sees regulation of any kind as its greatest enemy. Three a16z manifestos — “Politics and the Future” It is “The Techno-Optimist Manifesto” and 2024 “The Small Tech Agenda—describe co-founders Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz’s demands for a technology-powered capitalism unhindered by regulation or social considerations. They name “experts,” “bureaucracy,” and “social responsibility” as their “enemies.” Their 2024 statement alleges that banks are unfairly cutting off startups from the banking system; these would be crypto companies funded by a16z.
Trump’s vice presidential pick, Senator J.D. Vance, is a former Silicon Valley venture capitalist. He was once employed by Peter Thiel, who bankrolled Vance’s successful 2022 Senate run; Vance has been described as a “Thiel creation”. He has increased support for the Trump ticket among his venture capital associates. Vance is a bitcoin holder and a frequent advocate of encryption. He recently released a draft bill to review how the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) control crypto assets. In 2023, he circulated a bill to prevent banks from cutting out cryptocurrency exchanges.
Minimal regulation has been tried before. It led to the wild exuberance of the 1920s, which ended with the Black Tuesday crash of 1929 and the Great Depression of the 1930s. Regulators like the SEC were put in place during this era to protect investors and transform the securities market from a jungle into a well-tended garden, leading to many prosperous and stable decades that followed.
Crypto provides the opposite of a stable and functional system; it is a practical example of how a lack of regulation allows opportunists and scammers to cause large-scale disasters. The 2022 Crypto Crash repeated the 2008 financial crisis in miniature. FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried was feted as a financial prodigy who would perform economic miracles if you just gave him carte blanche; he ended up stealing billions of dollars of customers’ money, destroying the lives of ordinary people, and is now in a prison cell.
U.S. regulators have long been concerned about the prospect of cryptocurrency contagion to the broader economy. Criminal money laundering is rampant in cryptocurrency; even the Trump administration has made rules in December 2020 to reduce the risk of money laundering from crypto. Meanwhile, the crypto industry has persistently tried to infiltrate systemically risky corners of the economy, such as pension funds.
Four U.S. banks collapsed during the 2023 banking crisis, the first since 2020. Two of them, Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank, were deeply embedded in the crypto world — Silvergate in particular appears to have collapsed directly from its heavy reliance on FTX and failed a few months after that. Silicon Valley Bank was not involved in crypto but collapsed due to a run on the bench due to panic among venture capital deposit holders, particularly Thiel’s Founders Fund.
Project 2025the Heritage Foundation mammoth conservative wish list The plan, which Trump and Vance have both endorsed and tried to distance themselves from at various times, emphasizes the importance of party loyalists, noting especially financial regulation. The plan recommends replacing as much of the federal bureaucracy as possible with loyalists and “trusted” career officials rather than nonpartisan “experts.” Vance defended in 2021 that Trump should “fire every mid-level bureaucrat, every civil servant in the administrative state” and “replace them with our people.” Loyalty will likely trump competence.
Crypto is barely mentioned directly in Project 2025 — suggesting it has little active support among the broader conservative coalition. But near the end of the manifesto is a plan to dismantle most U.S. financial regulations and investor protections put in place since the 1930s, suggesting the exemption the crypto industry seeks from current SEC and CFTC regulations.
Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency, started as an ideological project to promote a strange variant of Murray Rothbard’s anarcho-capitalism and the Austrian gold-backed economy—the kind we abandoned to escape the Great Depression. Crypto quickly co-opted the “end of the Fed” and “establishment elites” conspiracy theories of the John Birch Society and Eustace Mullins. It’s a way for billionaire capitalists like Thiel, Andreessen and Elon Musk to claim they’re not part of the so-called elite.
If a second Trump administration were to limp along with financial regulators and allow cryptocurrencies to have free rein, it could help foster the collapse of the U.S. economy that bitcoin claimed to prevent. But Trump is more likely to be happy to take the crypto money and run.
Bitcoin
Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) Reserve Plan Seen as Just a ‘Small Token Stash’
Donald Trump’s recent promise to create a “strategic national stockpile of Bitcoin” may not turn out to be as big a commitment as the hype surrounding the announcement makes it seem.
“Trump’s proposal is extremely modest,” said George Selgin, director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institutea Washington-based public policy group. “It doesn’t have much economic implication.”
-
Ethereum4 months ago
Ethereum Posts First Consecutive Monthly Losses Since August 2023 on New ETFs
-
Ethereum6 months ago
Scaling Ethereum with L2s damaged its Tokenomics. Is it possible to repair it?
-
Videos6 months ago
Nexus Chain – Ethereum L2 with the GREATEST Potential?
-
Videos6 months ago
Raoul Pal’s Crypto Predictions AFTER Bitcoin Halving in 2024 (The NEXT Solana)
-
Bitcoin6 months ago
‘Beyond’ $20 trillion by 2030 – Jack Dorsey’s plan to boost Bitcoin price
-
Videos6 months ago
BREAKING: Coinbase wins BIG cryptocurrency legal battle [Bitcoin to $170k]
-
Ethereum6 months ago
Comment deux frères auraient dérobé 25 millions de dollars lors d’un braquage d’Ethereum de 12 secondes • The Register
-
News6 months ago
Solana ranks the fastest blockchain in the world, surpassing Ethereum, Polygon ⋆ ZyCrypto
-
Videos6 months ago
The cryptocurrency market is in trouble | SEC vs. Uniswap
-
Videos6 months ago
How I would invest $1,000 in cryptocurrencies in 2024 | Best Altcoin Wallet of June
-
Videos6 months ago
Historic steps for US cryptocurrencies! With a shocking majority vote!🚨
-
Regulation6 months ago
How ‘hostile’ US crypto regulations will benefit Coinbase, according to executive