Bitcoin
This is when BTC price could rise to $150K according to Bitcoin halving cycles: Peter Brandt
In a recent analysis, renowned crypto trader Peter Brandt predicted that bitcoin’s current bull run could see the cryptocurrency peak between $130,000 and $150,000 in late August to early September 2025.
Brandt’s projection is based on historical patterns following previous BTC halving events.
Bitcoin Bull Run Could Hit $130K-$150K
April 20th reduce by half, a major event encoded in the Bitcoin protocol that occurs approximately every four years, cuts mining rewards in half. According to Brandt, these events have historically played a large role in shaping the market’s bull cycles.
In his June 2 report, he detailed how previous halving dates “represented near-perfect symmetry in previous bull market cycles.”
Specifically, he noted that the number of weeks from the start of each bull market cycle, typically marked by a significant low following a decline of more than 75%, to the halving dates is nearly equal to the number of weeks since the halving dates until after the bull market highs.
Analyzing past patterns, Brandt pointed to Bitcoin’s last bull market, which began about 16 months before the halving on May 11, 2020, and ended about 18 months later. This pattern aligns with previous cycles following the July 9, 2016, and November 28, 2012 halvings.
“If this streak continues, the next rally in the bull market cycle is expected to occur in late August or early September 2025,” Brandt added. He designed a potential rally in the $130,000 to $150,000 range, noting that while no method of analysis is infallible, previous highs have corresponded well with an inverted parabolic curve.
Brandt’s analysis points to December 17, 2022 as the start of the current bull market, with bitcoin trading at around $16,800 at that time. Since then, BTC has risen over 300%, reaching an all-time high of $73,800 on March 14.
Peter Brandt warns of potential ‘exponential decay’
However, Brandt also offered a note of caution. He acknowledged the 25% probability that Bitcoin has already reached the peak of the bull market, as each cycle’s gains are diminishing when compared to the previous one. He also warned that if bitcoin fails to surpass its previous high and falls below $55,000, it could mean an “exponential decline” in its market value.
In a previous blog post, Brandt highlighted that about 80% of the exponential momentum from each of BTC’s last four bull cycles has been reduced. Looking to the future, he predicted exponential growth of approximately 4.5 times the current value.
While acknowledging the halving’s potential to positively influence the value of bitcoin, Brandt emphasized the importance of traders carefully watching for signs of exponential decay.