Ethereum
Is ETH heading for a bull run? By Investing.com
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the first spot (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) last week. The price of Ethereum surged in anticipation of the move, with crypto experts now saying the bull run has just begun.
The wave of positive regulatory news didn’t stop there as the House of Representatives passed its first crypto bill and the UK gave the green light to exchange-traded crypto products.
Signs that approval was imminent emerged earlier in the week when several exchanges changed their filings to exclude staking.
According to the latest analysis from Kaiko Research, the market has been gradually weighing approval for an ETF over the past month, amid growing uncertainty over the regulatory status of ETH.
“With these approvals, the SEC has implicitly declared that (non-staking) ETH is a commodity rather than a security. This is not just about access to ETH, but it has significant and likely positive ramifications for how all similar tokens will be regulated in the United States with regards to trading, custody, transfer , etc. », added Kaiko Research.
ETH implied volatility for the nearest expiration increased from less than 60% on May 20 to almost 90% on May 22 before retreating by the end of the week. This radical change in sentiment has also manifested itself in derivatives markets.
Ethereum price hit a 2-month high on Monday as bulls attempt to breach the strong resistance zone surrounding the $4,000 level.
“For a long time, Ethereum has been stuck between narratives, often chasing trends. We are finally seeing its relative market share catch up with its fundamentals. Bull runs are fueled by attention, inflows and narratives, and Ethereum has been scoring on all three fronts lately,” Kiril Nikolov, DeFi strategist at Nexo, told Investing.com.
Nikolov predicts that “inflows will be at least proportional to the market capitalization of the asset in terms of size, or about 30-40% of those achieved by spot ETFs in the United States.”
“As long as inflows exceed grayscale outflows, the rest of the year could be incredible for Ethereum.”
A break above the 2024 high would open the door for a rapid move towards the all-time high, set in 2021. The next resistance zone is located near the $6,000 level.
Open Interest Hits New Record
In just three days, ETH perpetual futures funding rates fell from their lowest level in over a year to a multi-month high. Open interest also hit an all-time high of $11 billion, suggesting strong capital inflows into the space.
The ETH/BTC ratio, measuring the relative performance of the two assets, increased from 0.044 to 0.055, although it remains below February highs. The rally has been broad-based, with U.S. and foreign cash markets seeing strong net buying since May 21. Offshore exchanges had previously recorded net sales.
Going forward, the launch of ETH ETFs could lead to selling pressure due to likely outflows or redemptions due to Grayscale’s ETHE, which has been trading at a discount of between 6% and 26% at the over the last three months.
ETHE currently has over $11 billion in assets under management, making it the largest ETH investment vehicle. In the first month of Bitcoin ETF trading, GBTC saw outflows amounting to $6.5 billion, or approximately 23% of its launch day assets under management.
If outflows of a similar magnitude occurred with ETHE, this would result in $110 million in average daily outflows, or 30% of the average daily volume of ETH on Coinbase (NASDAQ:). However, outflows from GBTC were offset and exceeded by inflows from other BTC ETFs at the end of January.
“The overall impact of ETHE redemptions on the market is still uncertain, especially given the lackluster launch of Hong Kong ETFs,” Kaiko Research said.
“Additionally, ETH market depth on centralized exchanges is around $226 million, still 42% lower than its pre-FTX average levels, and only 40% is concentrated on US exchanges , compared to around 50% at the start of 2023.”
Ethereum
QCP sees Ethereum as a safe bet amid Bitcoin stagnation
QCP, a leading trading firm, has shared key observations on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s struggle to surpass the $70,000 mark has led QCP to predict Selling pressure is still strong, with BTC likely to remain in a tight trading range. In the meantime, Ethereum (ETH) is seen as a more promising investment, with potential gains as ETH could catch up to BTC, thanks to decreasing ETHE outflows.
Read on to find out how you can benefit from it.
Bitcoin’s Struggle: The $70,000 Barrier
For the sixth time in a row, BTC has failed to break above the $70,000 mark. Bitcoin is at $66,048 after a sharp decline. Many investors sold Bitcoin to capitalize on the rising values, which caused a dramatic drop. The market is becoming increasingly skeptical about Bitcoin’s rise, with some investors lowering their expectations.
Despite the continued sell-off from Mt. Gox and the US government, the ETF market remains bullish. There is a notable trend in favor of Ethereum (ETH) ETFs as major bulls have started investing in ETFs, indicating a bullish sentiment for ETH.
QCP Telegram Update UnderlinesIncreased market volatility. The NASDAQ has fallen 10% from its peak, led by a pullback in major technology stocks. Currency carry trades are being unwound and the VIX, a measure of market volatility, has jumped to 19.50.
The main factors driving this uncertainty are Value at Risk (VaR) shocks, high stock market valuations and global risk aversion sentiment. Commodities such as oil and copper have also declined on fears of an economic slowdown.
Additionally, QCP anticipates increased market volatility ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting, highlighting the importance of the Federal Reserve’s statement and Jerome Powell’s subsequent press conference.
A glimmer of hope
QCP notes a positive development in the crypto space with an inflow of $33.7 million into ETH spot ETFs, which is giving a much-needed boost to ETH prices. However, they anticipate continued outflows of ETHE in the coming weeks. The recent Silk Road BTC moves by the US government have added to the market uncertainty.
QCP suggests a strategic trade involving BTC, which will likely remain in its current range, while ETH offers a more promising opportunity. They propose a trade targeting a $4,000-$4,500 range for ETH, which could generate a 5.5x return by August 30, 2024.
Ethereum
Ethereum Whale Resurfaces After 9 Years, Moves 1,111 ETH Worth $3.7 Million
An Ethereum ICO participant has emerged from nearly a decade of inactivity.
Lookonchain, a smart on-chain money tracking tool, revealed On X, this long-inactive participant recently transferred 1,111 ETH, worth approximately $3.7 million, to a new wallet. This significant move marks a notable on-chain movement, given the participant’s prolonged dormancy.
The Ethereum account in question, identified as 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, received 2,000 ETH on the Genesis block over 9 years ago.
This initial allocation took place during the Ethereum ICOwhere the participant invested in ETH at around $0.31 per coin. The initial investment, worth around $620 at the time, has now grown to millions of dollars.
Recent Transactions and Movements
The inactive account became active again with several notable output transactions. Specifically, the account transferred 1,000 ETH, 100 ETH, 10 ETH, 1 ETH, and 1 more ETH to address 0x7C21775C…2E9dCaE28 within a few minutes. Additionally, it moved 1 ETH to 0x2aa31476…f5aaCE9B.
Additionally, in the latest round of transactions, the address transferred 737,995 ETH, 50 ETH, and 100 ETH, for a total of 887,995 ETH. These recent activities highlight a significant movement of funds, sparking interest and speculation in the crypto community.
Why are whales reactivating?
It is also evident that apart from 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, other previously dormant Ethereum whales are waking up with significant transfers.
In May, another dormant Ethereum whale made headlines when it staked 4,032 ETHvalued at $7.4 million, after more than two years of inactivity. This whale initially acquired 60,000 ETH during the Genesis block of Ethereum’s mainnet in 2015.
At the time, this activity could have been related to Ethereum’s upgrade known as “Shanghai,” which improved the network’s scalability and performance. This whale likely intended to capitalize on the price surge that occurred after the upgrade.
Disclaimer: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The opinions expressed in this article may include the personal opinions of the author and do not reflect the opinion of The Crypto Basic. Readers are encouraged to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
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Ethereum
Only Bitcoin and Ethereum are viable for ETFs in the near future
BlackRock: Only Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Viable for ETFs in the Near Future
Bitcoin and Ethereum will be the only cryptocurrencies traded via ETFs in the near future, according to Samara Cohen, chief investment officer of ETFs and indices at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager.
In an interview with Bloomberg TV, Cohen explained that while Bitcoin and Ethereum have met BlackRock’s rigorous criteria for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), no other digital asset currently comes close. “We’re really looking at the investability to see what meets the criteria, what meets the criteria that we want to achieve in an ETF,” Cohen said. “Both in terms of the investability and from what we’re hearing from our clients, Bitcoin and Ethereum definitely meet those criteria, but it’s going to be a while before we see anything else.”
Cohen noted that beyond the technical challenges of launching new ETFs, the demand for other crypto ETFs, particularly Solana, is not there yet. While Solana is being touted as the next potential ETF candidate, Cohen noted that the market appetite remains lacking.
BlackRock’s interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs comes after the successful launch of Ethereum ETFs last week, which saw weekly trading volume for the crypto fund soar to $14.8 billion, the highest level since May. The success has fueled speculation about the next possible ETF, with Solana frequently mentioned as a contender.
Solana, known as a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum, has been the subject of two separate ETF filings in the US by VanEck and 21Shares. However, the lack of CME Solana futures, unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, is a significant hurdle for SEC approval of a Solana ETF.
Despite these challenges, some fund managers remain optimistic about Solana’s potential. Franklin Templeton recently described Solana as an “exciting and major development that we believe will drive the crypto space forward.” Solana currently accounts for about 3% of the overall cryptocurrency market value, with a market cap of $82 billion, according to data from CoinGecko.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin investors continue to show strong support, as evidenced by substantial inflows into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT). On July 22, IBIT reported inflows of $526.7 million, the highest single-day total since March. This impressive haul stands in stark contrast to the collective inflow of just $6.9 million seen across the remaining 10 Bitcoin ETFs, according to data from Farside Investors. The surge in IBIT inflows coincides with Bitcoin’s significant $68,000 level, just 8% off its all-time high of $73,000.
Ethereum
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