Ethereum
Experts weigh in on how high Ethereum could reach with ETF approval
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Tomorrow is the final deadline for approval of VanEck’s spot Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States, and expectations are high. James Seyffart, analyst at Bloomberg ETF sharing that an approval movement “is happening,” despite regulatory indicators pointing in the opposite direction through Monday.
As a result, Ethereum (ETH) surged 21% in less than 48 hours and is only 22% higher than its all-time high of $4,878.26. according to to data aggregator CoinGecko. Bitcoin (BTC) surged 96% in two months before the first spot Bitcoin ETF was approved in the United States and hit its all-time high two months later.
James Davies, co-founder and CPO of Crypto Valley Exchange, points out that Bitcoin’s case was different. “In this case, however, everything came together – the ETFs, the bitcoin halving, and the significant decrease in global inflation – and lined up to boost Bitcoin. Ethereum has already seen a crypto cycle and increase in global market sentiment,” he shares.
Although Davies believes that Ethereum ETF inflows will have a substantial impact, propelling ETH to new all-time highs, it could be difficult for Ethereum to replicate BTC’s movement after funds are approved. “This does, however, present a nice steady growth story for the remainder of 2024.”
Ruslan Lienkha, Head of Markets at YouHodler, also shares the view that an Ethereum ETF could trigger a sharp increase in the price of ETH. Additionally, this move may not be fully priced in, and there is still significant upside potential to be observed. “If so, it will be a powerful boost for the entire crypto market and a stimulus for the growth of other coins,” Lienkha added.
Bitfinex analysts believe that an Ethereum ETF spot approval could play out similarly to the Bitcoin ETF spot approval, which was “a sell-off event before a long-term bullish outlook term is triggered, causing a rally over several months. As for inflows, they expect a similar level consistent with the ETH market capitalization.
The current move from below $3,000 to $3,800 is the result of the market pricing in higher probabilities of ETF approval. Importantly, market participants often anticipate and assess ratings as absolute – implying that a 75% approval probability by Bloomberg analysts could potentially be rated at 100%.
Marko Jurina, CEO of Jumper.Exchange, highlighted that BTC increased by almost 65% following spot Bitcoin ETF trading in the United States. Thus, a similar move would propel ETH “well beyond its previous all-time high.” Zentner also believes that the approval could trigger growth in the crypto market for the second half of 2024.
And if…?
Despite the optimism regarding the approval of the Ethereum ETF, there is still a slight risk of rejection. Moreover, as Underlines According to Seyffart, a good portion of investors misunderstand the current movement since approval does not translate into immediate negotiation. These two scenarios could then upset investors.
However, in light of recent developments, these events are now undervalued, says James Davies of Crypto Valley Exchange. On the other hand, Marko Jurina from Jumper.Exchange believes that both possible negative events are already taken into account.
“When BTC spot ETFs first hit the market, there was actually a brief sell-off where some took profits before the rally resumed. Additionally, given the volatile nature of the market, both good and bad news give market makers plenty of opportunities to create more violent price swings, so blood in the streets is entirely possible. More problematic for the ETH community (in the absence of approval) would be the loss of a narrative as a catalyst,” Jurina added.
Additionally, a slight decline followed by a period of consolidation is also a possibility, shares Ruslan Lienkha of YouHodler. “The approval of the Ethereum ETF is only a matter of time. The SEC will approve it sooner or later after the status of ETH is clarified, and it doesn’t matter if it is recognized as a commodity, security or something else. For now, basically nothing will change for ETH. It will remain the second crypto in the sector even without an ETF.
Even if an unlikely rejection occurs, Bitfinex analysts describe a “tiered” scenario, which could result in a “hard rejection” or a “soft rejection.” A hard rejection would involve ETH being considered a security, while a soft rejection would be limited to ETF proposals.
“The first could be very bearish, leading to a retracement of the entire current upward movement. The latter could lead to more speculation about future recall approval,” Bitfinex analysts concluded.
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Ethereum
QCP sees Ethereum as a safe bet amid Bitcoin stagnation
QCP, a leading trading firm, has shared key observations on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s struggle to surpass the $70,000 mark has led QCP to predict Selling pressure is still strong, with BTC likely to remain in a tight trading range. In the meantime, Ethereum (ETH) is seen as a more promising investment, with potential gains as ETH could catch up to BTC, thanks to decreasing ETHE outflows.
Read on to find out how you can benefit from it.
Bitcoin’s Struggle: The $70,000 Barrier
For the sixth time in a row, BTC has failed to break above the $70,000 mark. Bitcoin is at $66,048 after a sharp decline. Many investors sold Bitcoin to capitalize on the rising values, which caused a dramatic drop. The market is becoming increasingly skeptical about Bitcoin’s rise, with some investors lowering their expectations.
Despite the continued sell-off from Mt. Gox and the US government, the ETF market remains bullish. There is a notable trend in favor of Ethereum (ETH) ETFs as major bulls have started investing in ETFs, indicating a bullish sentiment for ETH.
QCP Telegram Update UnderlinesIncreased market volatility. The NASDAQ has fallen 10% from its peak, led by a pullback in major technology stocks. Currency carry trades are being unwound and the VIX, a measure of market volatility, has jumped to 19.50.
The main factors driving this uncertainty are Value at Risk (VaR) shocks, high stock market valuations and global risk aversion sentiment. Commodities such as oil and copper have also declined on fears of an economic slowdown.
Additionally, QCP anticipates increased market volatility ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting, highlighting the importance of the Federal Reserve’s statement and Jerome Powell’s subsequent press conference.
A glimmer of hope
QCP notes a positive development in the crypto space with an inflow of $33.7 million into ETH spot ETFs, which is giving a much-needed boost to ETH prices. However, they anticipate continued outflows of ETHE in the coming weeks. The recent Silk Road BTC moves by the US government have added to the market uncertainty.
QCP suggests a strategic trade involving BTC, which will likely remain in its current range, while ETH offers a more promising opportunity. They propose a trade targeting a $4,000-$4,500 range for ETH, which could generate a 5.5x return by August 30, 2024.
Ethereum
Ethereum Whale Resurfaces After 9 Years, Moves 1,111 ETH Worth $3.7 Million
An Ethereum ICO participant has emerged from nearly a decade of inactivity.
Lookonchain, a smart on-chain money tracking tool, revealed On X, this long-inactive participant recently transferred 1,111 ETH, worth approximately $3.7 million, to a new wallet. This significant move marks a notable on-chain movement, given the participant’s prolonged dormancy.
The Ethereum account in question, identified as 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, received 2,000 ETH on the Genesis block over 9 years ago.
This initial allocation took place during the Ethereum ICOwhere the participant invested in ETH at around $0.31 per coin. The initial investment, worth around $620 at the time, has now grown to millions of dollars.
Recent Transactions and Movements
The inactive account became active again with several notable output transactions. Specifically, the account transferred 1,000 ETH, 100 ETH, 10 ETH, 1 ETH, and 1 more ETH to address 0x7C21775C…2E9dCaE28 within a few minutes. Additionally, it moved 1 ETH to 0x2aa31476…f5aaCE9B.
Additionally, in the latest round of transactions, the address transferred 737,995 ETH, 50 ETH, and 100 ETH, for a total of 887,995 ETH. These recent activities highlight a significant movement of funds, sparking interest and speculation in the crypto community.
Why are whales reactivating?
It is also evident that apart from 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, other previously dormant Ethereum whales are waking up with significant transfers.
In May, another dormant Ethereum whale made headlines when it staked 4,032 ETHvalued at $7.4 million, after more than two years of inactivity. This whale initially acquired 60,000 ETH during the Genesis block of Ethereum’s mainnet in 2015.
At the time, this activity could have been related to Ethereum’s upgrade known as “Shanghai,” which improved the network’s scalability and performance. This whale likely intended to capitalize on the price surge that occurred after the upgrade.
Disclaimer: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The opinions expressed in this article may include the personal opinions of the author and do not reflect the opinion of The Crypto Basic. Readers are encouraged to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.
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Ethereum
Only Bitcoin and Ethereum are viable for ETFs in the near future
BlackRock: Only Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Viable for ETFs in the Near Future
Bitcoin and Ethereum will be the only cryptocurrencies traded via ETFs in the near future, according to Samara Cohen, chief investment officer of ETFs and indices at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager.
In an interview with Bloomberg TV, Cohen explained that while Bitcoin and Ethereum have met BlackRock’s rigorous criteria for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), no other digital asset currently comes close. “We’re really looking at the investability to see what meets the criteria, what meets the criteria that we want to achieve in an ETF,” Cohen said. “Both in terms of the investability and from what we’re hearing from our clients, Bitcoin and Ethereum definitely meet those criteria, but it’s going to be a while before we see anything else.”
Cohen noted that beyond the technical challenges of launching new ETFs, the demand for other crypto ETFs, particularly Solana, is not there yet. While Solana is being touted as the next potential ETF candidate, Cohen noted that the market appetite remains lacking.
BlackRock’s interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs comes after the successful launch of Ethereum ETFs last week, which saw weekly trading volume for the crypto fund soar to $14.8 billion, the highest level since May. The success has fueled speculation about the next possible ETF, with Solana frequently mentioned as a contender.
Solana, known as a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum, has been the subject of two separate ETF filings in the US by VanEck and 21Shares. However, the lack of CME Solana futures, unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, is a significant hurdle for SEC approval of a Solana ETF.
Despite these challenges, some fund managers remain optimistic about Solana’s potential. Franklin Templeton recently described Solana as an “exciting and major development that we believe will drive the crypto space forward.” Solana currently accounts for about 3% of the overall cryptocurrency market value, with a market cap of $82 billion, according to data from CoinGecko.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin investors continue to show strong support, as evidenced by substantial inflows into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT). On July 22, IBIT reported inflows of $526.7 million, the highest single-day total since March. This impressive haul stands in stark contrast to the collective inflow of just $6.9 million seen across the remaining 10 Bitcoin ETFs, according to data from Farside Investors. The surge in IBIT inflows coincides with Bitcoin’s significant $68,000 level, just 8% off its all-time high of $73,000.
Ethereum
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