Ethereum

ETH remains stable despite Ethereum Spot ETFs going live

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The web3 community speculates on the performance of the new ETF asset class.

On July 23, nine Ethereum spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) began trading after a Russian mountains an accumulation of several months.

This milestone comes after BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, Fidelity, VanEck, Bitwise, 21Shares and Invesco all received final approval. approval of their S-1 registration statements yesterday. Grayscale proposes to convert its Ethereum Trust into an ETF and launch the Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust were also green light Today.

James Seyffart, ETF analyst at Bloomberg, note that the sector started with assets under management of $10.25 billion, 90% of which is held in the Grayscale Ethereum Trust.

“The launch of an Ethereum spot ETF in the United States marks a critical development, highlighting the growing maturity of the cryptocurrency asset class and its relevance in retail and institutional portfolio management,” said Cristiano Ventricelli, vice president of digital economy at Moody’s Ratings.

“The approval of crypto spot ETFs marks another turning point in the global shift toward digital assets,” said Brett Tejpaul, Head of Coinbase Institutional. “This wave of interest isn’t just a trend; it’s a transformative force, reshaping the financial system and solidifying cryptocurrencies’ enduring presence in the financial landscape.”

The launch of the spot Ether ETFs comes just over a year after spot Bitcoin ETFs became the fastest-growing ETF asset class since their launch nine months ago.

“Spot Bitcoin ETFs have already become the fastest-growing ETFs of all time, with $17 billion in net inflows since their approval earlier this year,” Tejpaul continued. “The approval of ETH ETFs continues this momentum and provides investors with another way to invest in the increasingly mainstream crypto economy.”

ETH Sideways Trends Following ETF Launch

The launch has so far defied expectations that funds entering the market would trigger a sell-off event following the news for ETH. Ether Price is up 0.1% over the past 24 hours, last trading at $3,495, according to The Defiant’s cryptocurrency price feed.

ETH also gained 1.7% against BTC over the past day to 0.0525 BTC, and is up 17% since its low of 0.045 BTC in mid-May.

ETH/BTC. Source: CoinGecko.

Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, an Ether ETF issuer, note Premarket trading volume for Ethereum exchange-traded products (ETPs) was “significantly lower than premarket trading for BTC ETPs” on the day of their launch. “Nevertheless, it is good to see trading activity from the larger players expected before markets open,” he added.

Philipp Pieper, co-founder of Swarm Markets, said he expected a disappointing initial market response to the fund’s launch.

“To get a sense of what this will look like in the short term, we can look to the Bitcoin ETF experience earlier this year,” Pieper said. “Based on that, we imagine the market reaction will be initially muted, even with some selling pressure.”

However, Pieper anticipates a “major reallocation of capital” into ETH in the medium term, which will likely put upward pressure on Ethereum prices.

Wintermute, a digital asset trading firm, predicts annualized inflows of between $3.2 billion and $4 billion, which could push the price of ETH by 18% to 24% by 2025.

Estimates of inflows

Analysts offer widely varying estimates of how much capital is expected to flow into Ether ETFs.

Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, told The Defiant that spot Ether ETFs will quickly capture around 2.5% of Ethereum market cap — or about $10.6 billion.

Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart estimate Ether funds are expected to accumulate between $5 billion and $6 billion in their first year, which is equivalent to 20% of the inflows to Bitcoin ETFs. Galaxy Digital also said predicted that $5 billion will enter the sector over five months.

Others anticipate the funds will generate slower growth, with Steven McClurg, head of U.S. asset management at CoinShares, tip These Ether ETFs will only host 10% of the inflows to Bitcoin funds.

Danny Chong, co-founder of Tranchess, suggested that lower inflows to Ether ETFs could have a bigger impact on the Ethereum market given its smaller capitalization compared to Bitcoin.

“Spot ETF inflows could have a bigger impact on Ether than Bitcoin due to Ethereum’s growing ecosystem,” Chong said. “The Ether/BTC price ratio has already seen a positive trend.”

However, Chong also acknowledged that Hong Kong based Ether ETFs were “slow to meet industry expectations” when they launched earlier this year.

ETF Fees

All but two of the funds are offering temporary trading fee breaks lasting between about six and 12 months. All of the funds started out fee-free, except BlackRock’s iShares Ethereum Trust, Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETM and Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE), which charge fees of 0.12%, 0.25% and 2.5%, respectively, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart.

Once the waivers expire, funds will charge fees ranging from 0.19% to 0.25%, with the exception of ETHE and the Grayscale Mini Ethereum Trust, which will charge 0.15% and 2.5%.

On July 22, Bitwise announcement It will donate 10% of its profits generated by the Bitwise Ethereum ETF between Protocol Guildan organization that supports Ethereum core developers, and the PBS Foundation, a nonprofit that funds open source block relays and related research.

This decision follows that of VanEck committing to 10% of its ETF profits to Protocol Guild for the first 10 years of the fund’s operation.

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