Bitcoin
Bitcoin Fans Bet on Donald Trump to Change Their Fortunes
Donald Trump promised thousands of bitcoin enthusiasts over the weekend that as president he would make the United States “the bitcoin superpower of the world,” winning broad support in a market resentful of regulatory scrutiny.
“My job will be to free them,” Trump said.
With enthusiasm pro-crypto speech on Saturdaythe former president has sought to deepen his ties with an industry fed up with perceived persecution at the hands of the Biden administration and has prepared to spend heavily to secure a more crypto-friendly audience in Washington.
Trump’s comments at the annual bitcoin conference in Nashville — a first for a major party presidential candidate — marked a turnaround for a man who just three years ago derided bitcoin as a “fraud” that was a threat to the U.S. dollar.
The positive momentum helped propel bitcoin to a six-week high on Monday, briefly touching $70,000 and nearly reaching its record high of just over $73,000.
“I think he will be the first crypto president,” venture capitalist Shervin Pishevar told the FT.
Crypto’s embrace of Trump comes as it tries to shake off the dark cloud cast by FTX founder Sam Bankman-Friedwho was sentenced this year to 25 years in prison for fraud and repression by US regulators.
Industry executives lament the U.S. government’s aggressive approach toward companies like Coinbase and failure to pass regulations, arguing it risks stifling innovation and pushing American companies overseas.
Cryptocurrency has faced “a brutal assault” under Biden and Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler, he said Marc Andreessen, co-founder of venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, who calls himself the world’s largest investor in cryptocurrencies, having raised about $8 billion to target the sector, said: “It’s been intensely frustrating and impossible to make progress on this with the White House,” he added.
By contrast, Trump’s position is “a direct, blanket endorsement of the entire space. A complete, blanket, uniform embrace of the entire thing,” he said. “It’s an absolute 180-degree turnaround from what we’ve been experiencing.”
Trump’s appearance in Nashville contrasted sharply with that of Kamala Harris, who has been in recent discussions to speak but decided against it. The biggest names and companies in digital assets are willing to throw their weight behind Trump’s campaign.
Last month, Pishevar co-hosted a fundraiser for Trump in Silicon Valley at the home of investor David Sacks, along with Coinbase executives and Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, founders of the Gemini cryptocurrency exchange, who donated $1 million in bitcoin to his campaign. Jesse Powell, the co-founder of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, said he donated $1 million, mostly in ether.
Other Trump mega-donors — Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick — joined attendees in Nashville alongside supporters wearing red “Make Bitcoin Great Again” caps. Outside, a Tesla Cybertruck promoting Bitcoin circled the Nashville conference, sharing a street lined with bachelorette party buses, tractors and pedal-powered taverns.
Trump’s speech on Saturday was full of promises for the U.S. cryptocurrency industry, from calling them “modern Edisons” to commuting the sentence of Ross Ulbricht, who is serving a life sentence for creating the online black market Silk Road.
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He received the biggest applause for promising to fire the industry’s bogeyman, the SEC’s Gary Gensler — who has been a vocal critic of cryptocurrencies.
Under Gensler’s watch, the agency has filed lawsuits against major exchanges including Binance, Coinbase, Kraken and Gemini, as well as payments provider Ripple Labs and blockchain software company Consensys, among others, accusing them of violating securities laws. Trump was so taken aback by the raucous roar from the audience that he repeated his vote.
He also promised to end the “crackdown” on Saturday, saying the rules should be “written by people who love their industry, not by people who hate their industry.”
Conference attendees were particularly impressed by Trump’s promise to create a “strategic national stockpile of bitcoin” without ever selling the roughly 210,000 bitcoins that were confiscated by the federal government.
“I think he definitely won some votes,” Fred Thiel, chief executive of cryptocurrency mining company Marathon Digital Holdings, said after meeting Trump.
The Trump campaign’s embrace of crypto has been underway for several months; he has been accepting cryptocurrency payments and has said his campaign has received more than $25 million in cryptocurrency donations. His vice presidential pick, J.D. Vance, owned as much as $250,000 in Bitcoin, according to his 2022 financial disclosure form, earning the Republican campaign more plaudits from executives.
The market has also become more politically savvy with its money since the days when Bankman-Fried backed individual politicians. The pro-crypto group Fairshake has become one of the largest super pacs so far this year, raising nearly $203 million, according to filings. The group is backed by Coinbase, Ripple and Andreessen Horowitz, among others, but has no plans to participate in the presidential campaign.
“It is clear [Trump’s] “I’ve long thought about keeping American industry here. Whether it’s protectionism or keeping things onshore, I suspect that’s the underlying principle,” said a senior executive at a U.S. cryptocurrency exchange.
In a sign of Democrats’ concern about the scale of Trump’s support for cryptocurrency, advisers to Kamala Harris have in recent days reached out “restart” relationships between the party and industry, reaching out to people at companies including Coinbase and Ripple, the FT reported.
But not everyone is convinced of Trump’s commitment to cryptocurrencies.
Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, criticized the market’s self-serving support for Trump. Boosting pro-crypto candidates means that “politicians come to understand that all they need to get their support is to support ‘crypto,’” he wrote in a recent blog post.
Others criticize Trump’s self-serving relationship with the cryptocurrency industry.
“Trump’s views can be bought, as we’ve seen,” said Vinod Khosla, founder of Khosla Ventures, adding that executives were clearly contributing to his campaign to get less onerous regulation so they could make more money.
The Trump campaign “is certainly very smart about where the butter is and which voters might be useful,” said Sheila Warren, chief executive of the Crypto Council for Innovation.
“Running for president and being president are very different things… what he would actually do once he was in office is a different question.”
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Bitcoin
Grayscale Unveils Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
Bitcoin Currency
Grayscale Investments The Bitcoin Mini Trust began trading on Wednesday with a 0.15% expense ratio, offering a lower-cost option for bitcoin exposure in the market.
The Mini Trust, which has the symbol BTC and trades on NYSE Arca, is structured as a spin-off of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). New shares will be distributed to existing GBTC shareholders with the fund contributing a portion of its bitcoin holdings to the new product. According to a company press releaseBTC’s S-1 registration statement became effective last week.
“The Grayscale team has believed in the transformative potential of Bitcoin since the initial launch of GBTC in 2013, and we are excited to launch the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust to help further lower the barrier to entry for Bitcoin in an SEC-regulated investment vehicle,” said David LaValle, Senior Managing Director and Head of ETFs at Grayscale.
The Bitcoin Mini Trust’s debut comes amid growing interest in ETFs based on the current price of the two largest cryptocurrencies by market cap, bitcoin and ether. Spot bitcoin ETFs have generated nearly $18 billion in inflows since the first ones began trading on Jan. 11, though GBTC has lost nearly $19 billion in assets.
This fund differs from other funds because it is a conversion of an existing fund and has a 1.5% fee, the highest among spot bitcoin products that have received SEC approval this year.
Mini Bitcoin Trust Low Fee
On a Post X On Wednesday, Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted the Bitcoin Mini Trust’s “lowest fee in the category…”
“[Important] to recognize how incredibly cheap 15bps is — about 10x cheaper than spot ETFs in other countries and other vehicles,” Balchunas wrote, adding that this pricing strategy reflects the competitive nature of the U.S. ETF market, which he referred to as the “ETF Terrordome.”
“This is what Terrordome does to fund [cost]. It reaches 1.5% [and] end in 0.15%, how to go from [a] country club to the jungle. But that’s why all the flows are here, investor paradise,” he noted.
Read more: Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Hit Daily High of Over $1 Billion
Bitcoin was recently trading at around $66,350, virtually flat since U.S. markets opened on Wednesday.
Grayscale also offers two spot Ethereum ETFs, the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) and the Grayscale Ethereum (ETH) Mini Trustwhose performance is based on ETHE. ETHE outflows exceeded $1.8 billion in its first six days of trading, while ETH added more than $181 million in the same period, according to Farside. The remaining seven ETFs generated about $1.2 billion in inflows.
The story continues
Read more: Spot Ethereum ETFs Approved to Start Trading
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Drops Below $65K After FOMC as Middle East Tensions Rise
Cryptocurrencies fell sharply on Wednesday as rising geopolitical risks captivated investors’ attention following the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.
Bitcoin (BTC) fell to $64,500 from around $66,500, where it traded following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference and is down more than 2% in the past 24 hours. Major altcoins including ether (ETH)sunbathing (SUN)Avalanche AVAX (AVAX) and Cardano (ADA) also fell, while Ripple’s XRP saved some of its early gains today. The broad cryptocurrency market benchmark CoinDesk 20 Index was 0.8% lower than 24 hours ago.
The liquidation happened when the New York Times reported that Iran’s leaders have ordered retaliation against Israel over the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, raising the risk of a wider conflict in the region.
Earlier today, the Fed left benchmark interest rates unchanged and gave little indication that a widely expected rate cut in September is a given. The Fed’s Powell said that while no decision has been made on a September cut, the “broad sense is that we are getting closer” to cutting rates.
While digital assets suffered losses, most traditional asset classes rose higher during the day. U.S. 10-year bond yields fell 10 basis points, while gold rose 1.5% to $2,450, slightly below its record highs, and WTI crude oil prices rose 5%. Stocks also rallied during the day, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index rebounding 3% and the S&P 500 closing the session 2.2% higher, led by 12% gains in chipmaker giant Nvidia (NVDA).
The different performances across asset classes could be due to traders’ positioning ahead of the Fed meeting, Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, said in an emailed note.
“Equities may have been slightly underutilized after the recent dip, while bitcoin is coming off a strong period with solid inflows, while gold has recovered after a period of weakness,” he said.
“Overall, the combination of Fed rate cuts, bipartisan focus on cryptocurrency policy issues, and the prospect of a second Trump administration that could advocate for a weaker U.S. dollar should be viewed as very positive for bitcoin,” he concluded.
UPDATE (July 31, 2024, 21:30 UTC): Adds grayscale comments.
Bitcoin
Donald Trump’s Cryptocurrency Enthusiasm Is Just Another Scam
Former US President Donald Trump spoke at the Libertarian National Convention in May and lent his a strong support to crypto: “I will also stop Joe Biden’s crusade to crush crypto. … I will ensure that the future of crypto and the future of bitcoin is made in the US, not taken overseas. I will support the right to self-custody. To the 50 million crypto holders in the country, I say this: With your vote, I will keep Elizabeth Warren and her henchmen out of your bitcoin.”
Former US President Donald Trump spoke at the Libertarian National Convention in May and lent his a strong support to crypto: “I will also stop Joe Biden’s crusade to crush crypto. … I will ensure that the future of crypto and the future of bitcoin is made in the US, not taken overseas. I will support the right to self-custody. To the 50 million crypto holders in the country, I say this: With your vote, I will keep Elizabeth Warren and her henchmen out of your bitcoin.”
Trump continued to court the cryptocurrency industry in the months that followed; he he appeared at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville this week, along with independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s parting words to Trump — “Have fun with your bitcoin, your cryptocurrency and whatever else you’re playing with” — were less than enthusiastic, but the industry itself remains packed with ardent Trump supporters.
This turnaround came as a surprise, given Trump’s previous strong opposition to cryptocurrency. When Facebook was floating its Libra cryptocurrency in 2019, Trump tweeted: “I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air.” Former national security adviser John Bolton’s White House memoir, The Room Where It Happened, quotes Trump as telling Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin: “Don’t be a trade negotiator. Go after Bitcoin.” [for fraud].” In 2021, Trump counted Fox Business that bitcoin “just looks like a scam. … I want the dollar to be the world’s currency.”
Why the change? There doesn’t seem to be any crypto votes. Trump’s “50 million” number comes from a poorly sampled push survey by cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase which claimed 52 million cryptocurrency users in the United States starting in February 2023. But one survey A survey conducted last October by the US Federal Reserve showed that only 7% of adults (about 18.3 million people) admitted to owning or using cryptocurrencies — down from 10% in 2022 and 12% in 2021. Many of these people are likely wallet owners who were left holding the bag after crypto plunged in 2022 — and are not necessarily new fans.
What Trump wants from the cryptocurrency industry is money. The cryptocurrency industry has already raised more than US$ 180 million to run in the 2024 US elections through his super PACs Fairshake, Defend American Jobs and Protect Progress.
Fairshake spent $10 million on taking Rep. Katie Porter in the primary battle for Dianne Feinstein’s California Senate seat by funding Porter’s pro-crypto rival Adam Schiff. This put $2 million to knock out Rep. Jamaal Bowman in the Democratic primary for New York’s 16th District in favor of pro-crypto George Latimer. In the Utah Senate Republican primary, Rep. John Curtis defeated Trent Staggs with the help of $4.7 million from Defend American Jobs. In Alabama’s House District 2, the majority of campaign expenses came from the cryptocurrency industry.
Fairshake is substantially financed by Coinbase, cryptocurrency issuer Ripple Labs, and Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, or a16z. Silicon Valley was awash in cryptocurrencies during the 2021 bubble, and a16z in particular continues to promote blockchain startups to this day — and still holds a huge amount of bubble crypto tokens that he wishes he could cash in on.
Many in Silicon Valley would like an authoritarian who they think will let them run wild with money — while bailing them out in tough times. Indeed, Trump promised Bitcoin 2024 participants that he hold all bitcoins that the United States acquires. (Never mind that it is usually acquired as the proceeds of crime.) Silicon Valley explicitly sees regulation of any kind as its greatest enemy. Three a16z manifestos — “Politics and the Future” It is “The Techno-Optimist Manifesto” and 2024 “The Small Tech Agenda—describe co-founders Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz’s demands for a technology-powered capitalism unhindered by regulation or social considerations. They name “experts,” “bureaucracy,” and “social responsibility” as their “enemies.” Their 2024 statement alleges that banks are unfairly cutting off startups from the banking system; these would be crypto companies funded by a16z.
Trump’s vice presidential pick, Senator J.D. Vance, is a former Silicon Valley venture capitalist. He was once employed by Peter Thiel, who bankrolled Vance’s successful 2022 Senate run; Vance has been described as a “Thiel creation”. He has increased support for the Trump ticket among his venture capital associates. Vance is a bitcoin holder and a frequent advocate of encryption. He recently released a draft bill to review how the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) control crypto assets. In 2023, he circulated a bill to prevent banks from cutting out cryptocurrency exchanges.
Minimal regulation has been tried before. It led to the wild exuberance of the 1920s, which ended with the Black Tuesday crash of 1929 and the Great Depression of the 1930s. Regulators like the SEC were put in place during this era to protect investors and transform the securities market from a jungle into a well-tended garden, leading to many prosperous and stable decades that followed.
Crypto provides the opposite of a stable and functional system; it is a practical example of how a lack of regulation allows opportunists and scammers to cause large-scale disasters. The 2022 Crypto Crash repeated the 2008 financial crisis in miniature. FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried was feted as a financial prodigy who would perform economic miracles if you just gave him carte blanche; he ended up stealing billions of dollars of customers’ money, destroying the lives of ordinary people, and is now in a prison cell.
U.S. regulators have long been concerned about the prospect of cryptocurrency contagion to the broader economy. Criminal money laundering is rampant in cryptocurrency; even the Trump administration has made rules in December 2020 to reduce the risk of money laundering from crypto. Meanwhile, the crypto industry has persistently tried to infiltrate systemically risky corners of the economy, such as pension funds.
Four U.S. banks collapsed during the 2023 banking crisis, the first since 2020. Two of them, Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank, were deeply embedded in the crypto world — Silvergate in particular appears to have collapsed directly from its heavy reliance on FTX and failed a few months after that. Silicon Valley Bank was not involved in crypto but collapsed due to a run on the bench due to panic among venture capital deposit holders, particularly Thiel’s Founders Fund.
Project 2025the Heritage Foundation mammoth conservative wish list The plan, which Trump and Vance have both endorsed and tried to distance themselves from at various times, emphasizes the importance of party loyalists, noting especially financial regulation. The plan recommends replacing as much of the federal bureaucracy as possible with loyalists and “trusted” career officials rather than nonpartisan “experts.” Vance defended in 2021 that Trump should “fire every mid-level bureaucrat, every civil servant in the administrative state” and “replace them with our people.” Loyalty will likely trump competence.
Crypto is barely mentioned directly in Project 2025 — suggesting it has little active support among the broader conservative coalition. But near the end of the manifesto is a plan to dismantle most U.S. financial regulations and investor protections put in place since the 1930s, suggesting the exemption the crypto industry seeks from current SEC and CFTC regulations.
Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency, started as an ideological project to promote a strange variant of Murray Rothbard’s anarcho-capitalism and the Austrian gold-backed economy—the kind we abandoned to escape the Great Depression. Crypto quickly co-opted the “end of the Fed” and “establishment elites” conspiracy theories of the John Birch Society and Eustace Mullins. It’s a way for billionaire capitalists like Thiel, Andreessen and Elon Musk to claim they’re not part of the so-called elite.
If a second Trump administration were to limp along with financial regulators and allow cryptocurrencies to have free rein, it could help foster the collapse of the U.S. economy that bitcoin claimed to prevent. But Trump is more likely to be happy to take the crypto money and run.
Bitcoin
Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) Reserve Plan Seen as Just a ‘Small Token Stash’
Donald Trump’s recent promise to create a “strategic national stockpile of Bitcoin” may not turn out to be as big a commitment as the hype surrounding the announcement makes it seem.
“Trump’s proposal is extremely modest,” said George Selgin, director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institutea Washington-based public policy group. “It doesn’t have much economic implication.”
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