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Crypto: Ethereum momentum continues to decline! Analysis of June 26, 2024

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Crypto: Ethereum momentum continues to decline!  Analysis of June 26, 2024

After peaking, Ethereum is under increasingly threatening selling pressure. Let’s take a look at the future prospects of ETH together.

Current Status of Ethereum (ETH)

After reaching a peak of $3,950 following the Ethereum Spot ETF ApprovalEthereum price has been under selling pressure which has naturally pushed the price of the cryptocurrency lower. This decline has been fueled by the fall in Bitcoin, which has dragged the entire cryptocurrency market down with it. Thus, Ethereum is in a short-term downtrend. Nevertheless, it seems to have attracted buying interest at $3,250, which has allowed it to remain above $3,300, a price level highlighted in the Analysis of June 12This gives hope for a potential rebound to counter this selling pressure.

Ethereum is now just below its 50-day moving average. This is not reassuring for the medium-to-long-term structure of the crypto. However, we can take comfort in the fact that it remains above its 200-day moving average. As for the Ethereum price dynamics, it is not surprising that it continues to fall, as evidenced by oscillators and the price of Ethereum itself. While this can be a timely signal in an uptrend, it can become concerning as this decline intensifies.

ETH/USD Chart (1D)ETH/USD Chart (1 day)ETH/USD Chart (1 day)

The current technical analysis was carried out in collaboration with Elie FT, a passionate investor and trader in the cryptocurrency market. Today, he is an instructor at Family businessa community of thousands of active proprietary traders since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content and support around the financial markets in a professional and friendly environment.

A closer look at derivatives (ETH/USDT)

Open interest in Ethereum perpetual contracts appears to have followed the trajectory of the crypto price. This demonstrates an exit from speculators as the price of ETH falls. This phenomenon can be explained by a capitulation of buyers, subtly illustrated by the latest liquidations with a predominantly buyer-dominated nature. Coupled with a continued decline in funding rates, this demonstrates increasing selling pressure on ETH/USDT contracts. Of course, this is not convincing from the buyer’s point of view.

Open Interest Rate / ETH/USDT Liquidations and Funding

The three-month ETH/USDT liquidation heatmap reveals that the contact of the last two liquidation zones with the Ethereum price did not trigger sustained buying interest. Currently, the largest liquidation zones in recent months are above the current ETH price. In particular, the zone just below $3,700 and the one still visible around $3,900. Below the current price, the significant zone lies just below $3,100, extending up to $2,800, where it appears more pronounced. A price approaching these levels could trigger massive order executions, increasing the risk of increased volatility for Ethereum. These areas therefore represent critical points of interest for investors.

ETH/USDT Liquidation Heatmap (3 Months)

Ethereum (ETH) Price Hypotheses

  • If Ethereum price sustains above $3,250, we could expect a bullish recovery to $3,500 or even $3,800. The next resistance to consider would then be $4,000 to $4,100. If the bullish move continues, this could mark a new high at $4,500, paving the way to reach Ethereum’s ATH. At this point, that would represent an increase of more than 32%.
  • If Ethereum price fails to hold above $3,250, we could be looking at a return to around $3,000. The next support to consider, if the bearish move continues, would be in the price range between $2,900 and $2,800. Further down, we can note the support at $2,700. At this point, this would represent a decline of around 20%.

Conclusion

Ethereum is currently experiencing a decline influenced by the crypto market crash. Despite this selling pressure, key support has maintained a certain price level, giving hope for a potential rebound. However, the situation remains uncertain, with the persistence of bearish momentum in ETH, which could become worrying if this trend continues. It will therefore be crucial to closely observe the price reaction at different key levels to confirm or refute the current assumptions. It is also important to remain vigilant for possible market “falsification” and “squeezes” in each scenario. Finally, remember that these analyzes are based solely on technical criteria and that the prices of cryptocurrencies can also change quickly depending on other more fundamental factors.

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Ethereum

QCP sees Ethereum as a safe bet amid Bitcoin stagnation

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QCP, a leading trading firm, has shared key observations on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin’s struggle to surpass the $70,000 mark has led QCP to predict Selling pressure is still strong, with BTC likely to remain in a tight trading range. In the meantime, Ethereum (ETH) is seen as a more promising investment, with potential gains as ETH could catch up to BTC, thanks to decreasing ETHE outflows.

Read on to find out how you can benefit from it.

Bitcoin’s Struggle: The $70,000 Barrier

For the sixth time in a row, BTC has failed to break above the $70,000 mark. Bitcoin is at $66,048 after a sharp decline. Many investors sold Bitcoin to capitalize on the rising values, which caused a dramatic drop. The market is becoming increasingly skeptical about Bitcoin’s rise, with some investors lowering their expectations.

Despite the continued sell-off from Mt. Gox and the US government, the ETF market remains bullish. There is a notable trend in favor of Ethereum (ETH) ETFs as major bulls have started investing in ETFs, indicating a bullish sentiment for ETH.

QCP Telegram Update UnderlinesIncreased market volatility. The NASDAQ has fallen 10% from its peak, led by a pullback in major technology stocks. Currency carry trades are being unwound and the VIX, a measure of market volatility, has jumped to 19.50.

The main factors driving this uncertainty are Value at Risk (VaR) shocks, high stock market valuations and global risk aversion sentiment. Commodities such as oil and copper have also declined on fears of an economic slowdown.

Additionally, QCP anticipates increased market volatility ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting, highlighting the importance of the Federal Reserve’s statement and Jerome Powell’s subsequent press conference.

A glimmer of hope

QCP notes a positive development in the crypto space with an inflow of $33.7 million into ETH spot ETFs, which is giving a much-needed boost to ETH prices. However, they anticipate continued outflows of ETHE in the coming weeks. The recent Silk Road BTC moves by the US government have added to the market uncertainty.

QCP suggests a strategic trade involving BTC, which will likely remain in its current range, while ETH offers a more promising opportunity. They propose a trade targeting a $4,000-$4,500 range for ETH, which could generate a 5.5x return by August 30, 2024.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Whale Resurfaces After 9 Years, Moves 1,111 ETH Worth $3.7 Million

Chain Feed Staff

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Ethereum records $17.9 billion in spot volume despite 3% drop

An Ethereum ICO participant has emerged from nearly a decade of inactivity.

Lookonchain, a smart on-chain money tracking tool, revealed On X, this long-inactive participant recently transferred 1,111 ETH, worth approximately $3.7 million, to a new wallet. This significant move marks a notable on-chain movement, given the participant’s prolonged dormancy.

The Ethereum account in question, identified as 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, received 2,000 ETH on the Genesis block over 9 years ago.

Screenshot 2024 07 30 at 171307

This initial allocation took place during the Ethereum ICOwhere the participant invested in ETH at around $0.31 per coin. The initial investment, worth around $620 at the time, has now grown to millions of dollars.

Recent Transactions and Movements

The inactive account became active again with several notable output transactions. Specifically, the account transferred 1,000 ETH, 100 ETH, 10 ETH, 1 ETH, and 1 more ETH to address 0x7C21775C…2E9dCaE28 within a few minutes. Additionally, it moved 1 ETH to 0x2aa31476…f5aaCE9B.

Additionally, in the latest round of transactions, the address transferred 737,995 ETH, 50 ETH, and 100 ETH, for a total of 887,995 ETH. These recent activities highlight a significant movement of funds, sparking interest and speculation in the crypto community.

Why are whales reactivating?

It is also evident that apart from 0xE727E67E…B02B5bFC6, other previously dormant Ethereum whales are waking up with significant transfers.

In May, another dormant Ethereum whale made headlines when it staked 4,032 ETHvalued at $7.4 million, after more than two years of inactivity. This whale initially acquired 60,000 ETH during the Genesis block of Ethereum’s mainnet in 2015.

At the time, this activity could have been related to Ethereum’s upgrade known as “Shanghai,” which improved the network’s scalability and performance. This whale likely intended to capitalize on the price surge that occurred after the upgrade.

Disclaimer: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The opinions expressed in this article may include the personal opinions of the author and do not reflect the opinion of The Crypto Basic. Readers are encouraged to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.

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Ethereum

Only Bitcoin and Ethereum are viable for ETFs in the near future

Chain Feed Staff

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Only Bitcoin and Ethereum are viable for ETFs in the near future

BlackRock: Only Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Viable for ETFs in the Near Future

Bitcoin and Ethereum will be the only cryptocurrencies traded via ETFs in the near future, according to Samara Cohen, chief investment officer of ETFs and indices at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager.

In an interview with Bloomberg TV, Cohen explained that while Bitcoin and Ethereum have met BlackRock’s rigorous criteria for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), no other digital asset currently comes close. “We’re really looking at the investability to see what meets the criteria, what meets the criteria that we want to achieve in an ETF,” Cohen said. “Both in terms of the investability and from what we’re hearing from our clients, Bitcoin and Ethereum definitely meet those criteria, but it’s going to be a while before we see anything else.”

Cohen noted that beyond the technical challenges of launching new ETFs, the demand for other crypto ETFs, particularly Solana, is not there yet. While Solana is being touted as the next potential ETF candidate, Cohen noted that the market appetite remains lacking.

BlackRock’s interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs comes after the successful launch of Ethereum ETFs last week, which saw weekly trading volume for the crypto fund soar to $14.8 billion, the highest level since May. The success has fueled speculation about the next possible ETF, with Solana frequently mentioned as a contender.

Solana, known as a faster and cheaper alternative to Ethereum, has been the subject of two separate ETF filings in the US by VanEck and 21Shares. However, the lack of CME Solana futures, unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, is a significant hurdle for SEC approval of a Solana ETF.

Despite these challenges, some fund managers remain optimistic about Solana’s potential. Franklin Templeton recently described Solana as an “exciting and major development that we believe will drive the crypto space forward.” Solana currently accounts for about 3% of the overall cryptocurrency market value, with a market cap of $82 billion, according to data from CoinGecko.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin investors continue to show strong support, as evidenced by substantial inflows into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT). On July 22, IBIT reported inflows of $526.7 million, the highest single-day total since March. This impressive haul stands in stark contrast to the collective inflow of just $6.9 million seen across the remaining 10 Bitcoin ETFs, according to data from Farside Investors. The surge in IBIT inflows coincides with Bitcoin’s significant $68,000 level, just 8% off its all-time high of $73,000.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Posts First Consecutive Monthly Losses Since August 2023 on New ETFs

Chain Feed Staff

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Ethereum sees first monthly consecutive losses since August 2023 amid new ETFs

Available exclusively via

Bitcoin ETF vs Ethereum: A Detailed Comparison of IBIT and ETHA

Andjela Radmilac · 3 days ago

CryptoSlate’s latest market report takes an in-depth look at the technical and practical differences between IBIT and BlackRock’s ETHA to explain how these products work.

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